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Defensive metrics — especially field-goal defense and free-throw rate allowed — have slipped the most when UH is on the road. In a Feb. For the season at large, Houston ranks second in the American Athletic Conference in allowing just Memphis was a little sloppy late in a Wednesday win which snapped a three-game losing streak. The Tigers allowed a late run to what should have been an overmatched East Carolina Pirates team.
Memphis has been without solid two-way player D. The scales get balanced somewhat by a Houston injury for this one. Get some action on this college basketball matchup or others by placing a legal sports bet at BetMGM! New customer offer: Risk-free first bet! Visit BetMGM for terms and conditions. Lines last updated at 8 a. Houston is in games when favored by fewer than five points. The Cougars are the more consistent squad and one playing near its best of late.
Due in part to a couple key injuries, Memphis has fallen from what was a solid level of play in November and December. The total here appears to be baking in injuries as one-sided dings against the offense. The particular players sidelined bring a lot to the other side of the ball, as well. Figure on the Cougars reaching the low 70s and winning by four or five points.
The OVER Want some action on this matchup? Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. Tip-off is scheduled for p. Below, we analyze the Rutgers-Iowa college basketball odds and lines, with picks and predictions. The Hawkeyes are No. Lines last updated at p. ET SEC contest. Lets say Dallas is playing Washington.
The spread is 7 points favoring Dallas. The service will tell 10 people to bet on Washington and 10 people to bet Dallas. Then they call back the winning 10 people and tell them see, i told you so! We have big information on these game all the time and i will keep you winning! This happens all the time. The winners send in more money to get more supposed winning games. It is all a crock of you know what! These people also tell you they are very very successful in this work and they are in a nice suite or office in a major hotel in Vegas.
Most of these services are in Florida and other states as well. These offices change locations constantly and are not paying income tax on the money they collect from unsuspecting people. They seldom get turned in or even investigated because most of their clients are gambling illegally.
Pretty sweet deal huh! In Las Vegas, none of these betting services can be found. If you don t believe me, take a trip there. I bet you can t find anyone! The average guy hanging out in the sportsbook can probably get you a good game to bet on. To hit 2 games, your odds drop to about 25 percent.
To get 3 right, your odds drop to about 12 percent. To hit 4 games correctly against the spread it happens maybe 5 out of times. The good handicappers of these sports events, whether it be football, basketball. These betting services will even go so far as to tell unsuspecting gamblers that they know through their supposed sports connections that the game is fixed in some way, and they know the outcome before it happens.
No way is this true! One rare moment was the NBA scandal with the referee affecting the outcome of the games. This is very rare and he is in prison now. None of these services know anything you can t find out from the internet or reading sports publications and sports articles. Or simply paying attention to the radio and ESPN. What prompted me to write this article was an ad i heard on an ESPN affiliate station on the radio 2 days ago where i live.
Oh joy, bucks to get some well informed picks?? He then stated he went the week before. That s hilarious! They paid cash for their nice cars, cash for their houses in Boca Raton, and so on.
Louisiana is at the other end of the spectrum, outgaining foes by yards per game. Louisiana boasts a great offensive line, as the Cajuns average 6. Miami's O-line paves the way for only 3. I have established the fact that Louisiana deserves to be a big favorite, but can it cover as a point favorite?
Louisiana has 10 wins this year and won those by Miami has five losses, falling by Connelly : Both of these teams got hot late in the season. That the Bulls improved by more is the reason for them to be favored, but unless Charlotte goes into full "happy to be here" mode, six points is a lot. This is a pretty interesting matchup of strength vs.
Buffalo D and weakness vs. Charlotte D. If the 49ers find success against an aggressive, all-or-nothing Bulls pass defense, they could win outright. Steele : I am on the Joe Moore Award committee for choosing the top offensive line in the country, and Charlotte's unit got high praise on our conference calls during the season. Buffalo also has a solid offensive line, paving the way for rushing yards per game and 5 yards per carry while allowing just eight sacks.
Charlotte has the stronger pass game, but Buffalo has a good-sized edge on defense. Both teams rank near the bottom of my special-teams rankings. My power ratings have this one close to the line, so with the strong offensive lines, I will look to the over the past five Bahamas Bowls have averaged Steele : This one figures to be a shootout, with Utah State allowing foes 33 yards per game above their season average and Kent State yielding 96 yards per game above.
With just one other returning starter on offense, this season he has only 17 TDs vs. Kent State has covered six in a row as an underdog versus non-Power 5 teams and is getting a full touchdown here. The line was Utah State -7 before three players were cited for marijuana use Tuesday.
With Noah Johnson rushing for 1, yards, Alcorn State averaged yards per game rushing and 6. The Aggies' defense is coming off a game in which it held NC Central to 9 total yards of offense in a shutout. Johnson : Maybe the memory of the Aztecs' loss to Ohio in last year's Frisco Bowl is still fresh in everyone's minds, as it isn't too often that a MAC school dominates a bowl game.
My projection here is San Diego State Remember: Central Michigan lost to Wisconsin earlier this season. Not only am I getting the more talented team starting quarterback Ryan Agnew is probable , but I'm specifically buying Rocky Long's defense, which ranks ninth in the country in defensive efficiency 4. With Long having multiple weeks to prepare his defense for a Chippewas offense that has been playing MAC competition the past few months th-ranked strength of schedule , I'm thrilled to buy low here at a cheap number.
When you think of San Diego State, you think of RBs who rush for 2, yards two of them in past four years , but this year the top RB is Juwan Washington , with just yards and a poor 3. The Aztecs have a significant edge on special teams at No. Central averaged just I like the Aztecs to win, but they are laying more than a field goal, so I will lean with the under.
Connelly : How much is a hot streak worth to you when a bowl break is involved? That's not bad, but do you lose your form with three weeks off? Liberty, meanwhile, has basically been the same team for the past two months. Their balanced and dangerous offense is the best unit in this game, and the connection of quarterback Stephen Calvert to receiver Antonio Gandy-Golden could have a field day against a shaky Georgia Southern pass defense.
Steele : Liberty is despite facing the weakest schedule in the country. Despite the schedule, Liberty allowed foes 4. That does not bode well against the Georgia Southern option offense that ran for yards per game and 5. The Eagles took on LSU and Minnesota in nonconference play, and their defense held foes to 63 yards per game below their season average.
This is Liberty's first bowl, and I will go with the team that has the much stronger defense and has played the far tougher schedule. SMU has just two losses this season, but the Mustangs were on the road to Memphis and Navy, who each had double-digit wins. The Owls have the better defense statistically, but the Mustangs had 50 sacks and took on the tougher schedule.
I have been riding FAU all season, and though this team is a home underdog, head coach Lane Kiffin has accepted the job to coach Ole Miss. This should be a very competitive, high-scoring game. Johnson : Kiffin's departure is official, and defensive coordinator Glenn Spencer is taking over the coaching duties in the interim. Players look forward to the bowl season and the opportunity to travel to a new place and celebrate their program; FAU doesn't get to do that.
Meanwhile Sonny Dykes and the Mustangs just completed their historic win season. When it comes to my personal projection in this matchup, I make the Mustangs a 5-point favorite. This isn't generally a big enough discrepancy for me to lay -3, but combined with Kiffin's departure and the specific matchup advantages on the SMU side, it's a worthwhile wager.
I think most people see FAU's Defensively, the Owls rank outside the top allowing pass plays of 30 or more yards. Well, Buechele and the Mustangs' offense rank No. SMU also leads the country with 4. The Mustangs should find success through the air and create havoc on the defensive side of the ball against an offense lacking Kiffin's guidance.
Combining everything together points to the SMU side -- which lines up with my projection -- and we have the added bonus of our opponent's coach leaving for a bigger gig in the SEC. Give me the Mustangs in this setup every time. Steele : Arkansas State has a dangerous offense. Despite losing QB Logan Bonner after four games, backup Layne Hatcher stepped in and threw for yards per game, and wide receiver Omar Bayless is among the nation's receiving leaders with 1, yards and 16 TDs.
The Red Wolves' defense was hurt by injuries all season and lost four defensive tackles for the season, leaving them vulnerable to the run they allowed rushing yards per game and 5. Butch Davis is in bowl games, and Blake Anderson is Steele : Chris Petersen started his head-coaching career at Boise State in and was there until , when he left for Washington. The Broncos' defense is led by defensive end Curtis Weaver QB Jacob Eason topped yards passing once all season versus FBS foes and will be without his top receiver in tight end Hunter Bryant and left tackle Trey Adams , who are opting to sit this one out.
The Huskies are holding opponents to 71 yards per game below their season average. I could make a case for both teams here, so with two solid defenses, I will lean with the under. Steele : UAB coach Bill Clark took over a team that had not played football for two years and guided it to a bowl game. UAB should be healthier for this game, and its defense holds opponents to yards per game. UAB's schedule is th in my rankings, but App State has played the th-toughest schedule.
App State was outgained in four of its wins this year, with a first-down deficit of The talent gap is not as large as the spread, and Clark will have his Blazers motivated, while the Mountaineers have a head coach in his first career game. Kezirian: UAB is arguably the biggest farce this bowl season. They also beat Louisiana Tech at home, but the Bulldogs were relegated to a third-string quarterback and lost by six points in Birmingham.
The eight bowl-eligible schools are misleading. It is a solid team that won at both North Carolina and South Carolina, and its lone loss came against a triple-option offense Georgia Southern in windy conditions. The Mountaineers did lose head coach Eliah Drinkwitz to Missouri, but the school promoted offensive line coach Shawn Clark to head coach. He is not the interim coach, so that bodes well for stability and avoiding potential distractions.
It's a big number, but App State was ATS this season when favored by double digits, so the Mountaineers can certainly handle it. I have faith in a blowout, much like we saw in UAB's loss in its conference title game. This season, the Knights are and playing in the Gasparilla Bowl, and they could be in for a letdown. However, UCF could come out with a vengeance in nearby Tampa and make a statement. UCF has a significant edge on offense, with plenty of explosive playmakers, and the Knights were No.
Marshall comes in No. Steele : Most bowls have a split crowd, but Hawai'i will be playing in its home stadium. Wilson missed four games midseason but has returned to form. Hawai'i lost twice at Boise, including in the Mountain West title game.
Hawai'i is straight-up and ATS in this bowl. In its past six regular-season games, Hawai'i averaged yards per game rushing, and the offensive line allowed just 22 sacks on pass attempts. BYU's defense has recorded just 12 sacks. Hawai'i beat two Pac teams at home this season, and BYU is just as a favorite this season. Kezirian: Who doesn't love betting the Hawai'i Bowl? It is an "island game" pun intended , serving as your lone college football action on Christmas Eve.
On that merit alone, it often finds a way into your betting portfolio, but I still think there is value on BYU's offense. The Hawai'i defense ranks rd out of schools in defensive efficiency. The Warriors played better down the stretch, but I am going to chalk that up to facing weak offenses.
This is still a defensive unit that can get torched by BYU. I also think Hawai'i should score and considered the game total over, but I am slightly more confident in isolating BYU's team total. There is a chance that BYU's physicality could bother Hawai'i, much like we saw Boise State do in the Mountain West title game when the Warriors mustered only 10 points. Steele: Sometimes a bowl game just comes down to motivation, and this one appears to be clear.
Miami came off a bad loss to FIU and the next week managed just 57 yards in the second half in a loss to Duke. The Hurricanes are already down multiple players, as two defensive ends and wide receiver Jeff Thomas have announced they will skip the bowl, and more could follow. Offensive lineman Navaughn Donaldson will also miss the game with an injury. Miami figures to have a handful of fans make the 1,mile trip, while Louisiana Tech fans have a short drive.
Louisiana Tech has options on offense, and Skip Holtz is a perfect straight-up in bowl games with the Bulldogs, including a win over Illinois in Play this game in September and I am taking the Hurricanes by a couple TDs, but this game is in Louisiana, and a highly motivated Tech team has a great shot at pulling the upset. Johnson: This is one of the more mind-boggling spreads to me in bowl season. Anybody that has been doing projections throughout the season knows this number is way too low.
Even those that don't do their own numbers recognize this line to be low. So how do you quantify the motivation levels of a Miami team coming off of a disappointing season? The market seems to believe it is worth roughly six points relative to my projection Miami The Hurricanes dropped six games this season, but five were one-score games and they were dealing with a quarterback shuffle for a good portion of the season.
Miami actually beat five bowl teams, and now they go up against a Louisiana Tech squad that faced the st strength of schedule yes, st; there were FCS programs that played tougher competition this year. The Hurricanes have a few position players on the offensive side of the ball that are questionable, but I'm still getting a defense that ranked No.
If they no-show, then so be it. But I'm trusting the numbers and betting the Canes. Steele: Pitt is the stronger team and has a significant edge on defense. Pitt was a power-running team last year and averaged 5. Pitt's defense, led by defensive tackle Jaylen Twyman , has 49 sacks, while the Eagles' defense has only 19 sacks. For my bowl confidence contest, I am high on Pitt winning this game, but I like Eastern Michigan against the spread. Steele: Mack Brown did a great job in his first year back in Chapel Hill taking over a team that was last season and getting them to a bowl.
North Carolina is an underrated team, as all six losses were by seven points or fewer, and the Tar Heels faced 10 Power 5 teams and Appalachian State Temple faced just two Power 5 teams. I give a slight edge on defense to Temple but a large edge on offense to North Carolina. While the Tar Heels average yards above their opponent's average, Temple's offense averages 26 yards per game fewer than opponents allow. The clincher is Brown is in bowl games and Rod Carey is Steele: Michigan State enters this game needing a win to avoid a losing season.
Just like last year, the Spartans have a solid defense that allows only yards per game, but they have struggled to run the ball 3. Wake opened the year , but wide receiver Scotty Washington missed the past four games, wide receiver Sage Surratt missed the past three and the Demon Deacons lost three of their last four.
Surratt is out, and both Washington and quarterback Jamie Newman are questionable. Wake Forest was ranked only 83rd on defense, allowing foes 19 yards per game above their season average. Michigan State took on the tougher schedule, but I can't trust that offense getting over a field goal.
Dave Clawson is a perfect straight-up in bowls at Wake. Anyone who read this column during the regular season knows I faded Sparty as often as possible. I had high expectations for this team and actually played their season win total over but jumped ship early once their offensive ineptitude crystallized. The Spartans rank th in the nation in yards per play and 78th in offensive efficiency.
I also think Wake Forest's style will serve as an advantage. The Demon Deacons averaged Of course, all of this is contingent on Newman. The star quarterback is questionable with a right leg injury but is currently listed as the starter on the depth chart. I am optimistic he plays. Johnson: Wake Forest quarterback Jamie Newman is expected to start, but he's still technically questionable for the game. He has more upside than backup Sam Hartman , but Hartman has plenty of games under his belt and started the majority of the games last season.
The Demon Deacons finished the season averaging eight yards per pass attempt and rank 16th in passing success rate. I don't put much into the coaching matchup in this particular game because I'm still a Mark Dantonio believer, but the tone surrounding the Michigan State program as of late certainly isn't a positive one, and Dave Clawson has led Wake Forest to three straight bowl wins. I'm fine with seeing a fourth or at the very least a close game that gets us a cover.
Isaiah Spiller has done well to fill a void at running back yards rushing , and quarterback Kellen Mond is a dangerous dual-threat player. Despite facing three of the top offenses in the country, the Aggies' defense held opponents to 78 yards per game below their season average.
Oklahoma State has an average defense and is led on offense by Chuba Hubbard , the nation's leading rusher. Quarterback Spencer Sanders missed the final two games, and the Cowboys' offense averaged just yards and 18 points per game over that span. There is a chance Sanders could return, but the Cowboys will be without top receiver Tylan Wallace , who was lost for the year after Week 8. The Aggies are in Houston for this, so they should have a solid crowd edge and use this as a springboard for Steele: I find it challenging to pick a side in this game, so I will focus on the total.
Iowa has been an under team most of the year and has held opponents to 81 yards per game below their season average. Only three quarterbacks Iowa has faced this year rank in the top 20 in pass efficiency, and those teams averaged yards vs. Iowa, while the other nine foes put up yards per game. The Trojans averaged They have an elite wide receiver corps and put up 30 points against a tough Utah team. USC's defense, however, has been plagued by injury and is allowing opponents 13 yards above their season average while giving up 34 points per game the last four games.
Basically, if you add up a team's postgame win expectancy figures, you end up with an expected win total. For some teams, expected and actual win totals can differ drastically, which suggests that regression to the mean is coming at some point. Said regression probably isn't going to start in bowls, though. This trend applies to Iowa-USC, among a few others.
Iowa's second-order win total was 7. USC's win total eight , meanwhile, was slightly below its projected 8. So let's ride with Iowa here and see what happens. Kezirian: This comes down to the eye test, and simply put, the Trojans have far superior talent. While I have been impressed with Iowa at times this season, the Hawkeyes still have too many limitations for my liking. I don't see a scenario where they keep up with USC's speed on offense.
The Trojans ranked 14th in the nation with 6. USC ranks 12th in the nation in offensive efficiency, and now has had a few more weeks to groom true freshman quarterback Kedon Slovis. He took over midseason and seemingly has improved every single game. Additionally, USC figures to have avoided significant distractions with its coaching staff. The university decided to bring back head coach Clay Helton, and offensive coordinator Graham Harrell is also returning after flirting with Texas and other suitors.
He is a major reason for Slovis' development, and overall the situation bodes well for USC in this bowl game. Johnson: My projection for the total in this matchup is USC ranked eighth in offensive success rate fielding one of the best -- if not the best -- wide receiver units in the country. On the other side, Iowa graded out 40th in success rate after adjusting for strength of schedule, which probably surprises people.
It's obviously tough going up against Big Ten defenses week after week, but the Hawkeyes were more efficient moving the ball than it appeared. Their problem was head coach Kirk Ferentz's conservative play-calling and decision-making. Iowa led the nation in field goal attempts per game 2. The Hawkeyes seemingly shut it down and played for the field goal every time they got into the red zone, and I need two hands to count the times I was screaming at the screen when Ferentz kicked on 4th-and-1 this year.
Well, the Iowa offense gets a breath of fresh air seeing a banged-up USC defense that ranked th in success rate. The only defense the Hawkeyes saw that ranked worse this season was Rutgers th. I anticipate the Hawkeyes and Ferentz convert a few more drives into touchdowns in this matchup, and while their defense ranked top in most metrics, they have to go up against an offense that rates better than the majority of teams they faced.
I'll be rooting for points. Steele: When a pure passing team takes on an option team, I usually go with the over, as neither team can imitate the other teams' offense anywhere near the level of what they are facing. This is that type of matchup and has some key numbers that back the over.
Washington State has struggled to stop the run, allowing 4. That said, they were exposed against Clemson and Bama is every bit as good as the Tigers. Give me the Tide. They wanted to play. Ryan Day said so until the school recanted his statement.
If they had, maybe we have a gripe. Ranking them 11th is just petty and asinine…. Kentucky This line opened with the Wolfpack favored and has completely flipped. I picked Kentucky outright because they are an excellent running team and the Wolfpack have issues stopping the run. Mississippi vs.
I like the Indiana defense and this offense was a ton of fun to watch with Michael Penix leading the way. I still think Indiana wins because they can force Matt Corral into mistakes. He has two games of five or more interceptions just in this season alone! Give me the Hoosiers. Now it feels rather low for under a touchdown. Give me the Aggies. I lost the Iowa-Missouri game. I ended up with six twos, ten threes, five fours and three fives. I have a chance to make up some ground. Stay tuned!
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